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<title>Causal Capital</title>
<link>http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/</link>
<description>RMB - Risk, Markets &amp; Banking</description>
<dc:creator></dc:creator>
<dc:date>2010-11-27T20:17:03+10:00</dc:date>
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<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2010/03/trends_in_credi.php" />
<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2010/01/what_is_going_o.php" />
<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2009/09/theres_no_such.php" />
<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2009/06/regulators_rati.php" />
<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2009/06/between_a_hard.php" />
<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2009/05/greedy_glut_fee.php" />
<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2009/03/why_arent_banks.php" />
<rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2009/02/candid_intervie.php" />
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<item rdf:about="http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2010/11/the_hard_part_f.php">
<title>The hard part for European Banks</title>
<link>http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2010/11/the_hard_part_f.php</link>
<description><![CDATA[<p>McKinsey recently released an interesting article titled The New Banking Rules, the hard part for European Banks.</p>

<p>From the paper:</p>

<p>``about 1.9 trillion Euro of short-term liquidity, and about 4.5 trillion Euro of long-term funding. The capital shortfall is equivalent to about 60 percent of all outstanding Tier 1 capital, and the short-term liquidity gap is about 50 percent of all the liquidity that banks currently hold`` </p>

<p>is an incredible and sobering thought.<br />
</p>]]></description>
<dc:subject>Capital Frameworks</dc:subject>
<dc:creator>CausalEvents</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2010-11-27T20:17:03+10:00</dc:date>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2010/09/volckered_today.php">
<title>Volckered Today - The Tenuous Prop Desk Future</title>
<link>http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2010/09/volckered_today.php</link>
<description><![CDATA[<p>In the backlash to the credit crisis, the mere existence of all proprietary trading arms of all US investment banks is under threat.</p>

<p>At the end of August this year, JP Morgan told traders who work on the commodities desk for the firm to find another job. In fact the firm is going to shut down all proprietary trading to comply with the new US curbs on investment banks taking positions in the market.  <br />
</p>]]></description>
<dc:subject>Markets and News</dc:subject>
<dc:creator>CausalEvents</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2010-09-11T16:27:25+10:00</dc:date>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2010/03/trends_in_credi.php">
<title>Trends in credit risk management</title>
<link>http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2010/03/trends_in_credi.php</link>
<description><![CDATA[<p>Question : What are the top five trends in credit risk management and why are they the top five? Provided references to the best sources of information about these trends?</p>

<p>Response and Opinion:<br />
There are several big leading trends I am seeing at progressive banks presently, some of which I have listed below, sorry became carried away and listed 16 in this article:</p>]]></description>
<dc:subject>Risk Quantification</dc:subject>
<dc:creator>CausalEvents</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2010-03-20T15:52:55+10:00</dc:date>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2010/01/what_is_going_o.php">
<title>What is going on with these crazy credit ratings</title>
<link>http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2010/01/what_is_going_o.php</link>
<description><![CDATA[<p>An associate of mine posted me this article (click the link to read). It is an interesting overview on the reversal of credit ratings, well written and articulated. It also has an interesting insight into emerging markets so I thought I would share the posting in this forum. </p>

<p>His question ``What is going on with these crazy credit ratings reversal?`` - I have taken to put an opinion to that a little later on.</p>]]></description>
<dc:subject>Markets and News</dc:subject>
<dc:creator>CausalEvents</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2010-01-24T03:10:28+10:00</dc:date>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2009/09/theres_no_such.php">
<title>There`s no such thing as a free lunch</title>
<link>http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2009/09/theres_no_such.php</link>
<description><![CDATA[<p>It`s often said ``There`s no such thing as a free lunch.` Or is there?</p>

<p>To make FREE work one has to apply a strategy so to answer this question we are going to look at various strategies for FREE.<br />
Nothing is for free including time and nothing comes from nothing, free works if there is an underlying strategy behind the business model.</p>

<p>So with that in mind how do companies generate revenue from FREE, here are eight example strategies of FREE?<br />
</p>]]></description>
<dc:subject>Markets and News</dc:subject>
<dc:creator>CausalEvents</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2009-09-12T14:17:33+10:00</dc:date>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2009/06/regulators_rati.php">
<title>Regulators, Ratings and Ramblings</title>
<link>http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2009/06/regulators_rati.php</link>
<description><![CDATA[<p>When it comes to regulators and rating agencies ...</p>

<p>I fair the rating agencies have a lot to account for in this credit crisis but we only have ourselves to blame.  </p>

<p>Imagine the following scenario sets:<br />
</p>]]></description>
<dc:subject>Risk Quantification</dc:subject>
<dc:creator>CausalEvents</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2009-06-25T14:30:29+10:00</dc:date>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2009/06/between_a_hard.php">
<title>Between a hard rock and a cold place</title>
<link>http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2009/06/between_a_hard.php</link>
<description><![CDATA[<p>Some readers expressed a range of interesting market based opinions to our last blog ``<a href="http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2009/05/greedy_glut_fee.php">Greedy glut feeding frenzy</a>`` so in the theme of this we are going to continue the topic.</p>]]></description>
<dc:subject>Markets and News</dc:subject>
<dc:creator>CausalEvents</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2009-06-13T22:43:05+10:00</dc:date>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2009/05/greedy_glut_fee.php">
<title>Greedy glut feeding frenzy</title>
<link>http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2009/05/greedy_glut_fee.php</link>
<description><![CDATA[<p>Cash for trash, writes Paul Krugman and is what many sceptics labelled Henry Paulson`s 700 billion rescue plan.  To be honest the same could be said for some of the securities that are part of this invincible recovery and not just restricted to US markets but across the entire wagon of global equities.<br />
</p>]]></description>
<dc:subject>Markets and News</dc:subject>
<dc:creator>CausalEvents</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2009-05-06T22:16:08+10:00</dc:date>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2009/03/why_arent_banks.php">
<title>Why aren&apos;t banks lending</title>
<link>http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2009/03/why_arent_banks.php</link>
<description><![CDATA[<p>Mrs Clinton might just have the right wording but the wrong audience.</p>

<p>``Secretary of State Hillary Clinton went for a little joke today about resetting relations with the Russians. Clinton, presented Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov with a gift-wrapped RESET button, called the `little gift`. The word on the button was meant to say RESET in Russian however as Lavrov acknowledged - the word actually means OVERCHARGE in Russian.``</p>

<p>That is where the banks are at; OVER-charged, OVER-burdened and OVER-encumbered.</p>

<p>In simple terms banks aren`t lending because they are under capitalised with model loss impairments.  A recent article in the economist clearly shows this: <br />
</p>]]></description>
<dc:subject>Capital Frameworks</dc:subject>
<dc:creator>CausalEvents</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2009-03-09T17:22:30+10:00</dc:date>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2009/02/candid_intervie.php">
<title>Points for discussion</title>
<link>http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2009/02/candid_intervie.php</link>
<description><![CDATA[<p>An interesting debate about the approaches that banks have taken to quantify operational risk for Basel II.   What have been the problems and what are some of the solutions, is openly discussed in this article. Really does Basel II work at all?</p>

<p> </p>]]></description>
<dc:subject>Risk Quantification</dc:subject>
<dc:creator>CausalEvents</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2009-02-21T14:45:34+10:00</dc:date>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2009/02/the_us_compensa.php">
<title>The US compensation battle</title>
<link>http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2009/02/the_us_compensa.php</link>
<description><![CDATA[<p>The latest musings on the credit crisis or perhaps the outcome of the event (one single occasion is usually driven by many causal factors), is corporate compensation.</p>

<p>This week president Barack Obama called the bonus payouts for banks receiving rescue funds as "shameful" and that the government will require financial companies on the aid trade to cap compensation for top officials at USD 500,000 a year.</p>

<p>Obama stated that he was responding to a public outcry "in bad taste" over bonuses paid to bankers and wanted to enforce greater transparency of expenses and restrict severance pay when executives leave the company. </p>]]></description>
<dc:subject>Markets and News</dc:subject>
<dc:creator>CausalEvents</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2009-02-12T18:10:28+10:00</dc:date>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2009/01/call_it_what_it.php">
<title>Call it what it is, pawn cars</title>
<link>http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2009/01/call_it_what_it.php</link>
<description><![CDATA[<p>The acronym GM should be renamed from General Motors to Gross Manipulation and while there are some that reckon I am heavy handed with my criticism of the US government response to the General Motors collapse, I stand by view.</p>

<p>Oh I hear the argument that if GM fails the outcome to the manufacturing supply chain may be devastating; huge job losses could amplify the broad decay of the US economy further (if that is possible with interest rates hovering above nothing) and lead the world to a deep seated recession as marginal retail consumption declines. Personally I believe the world is greater than General Motors however the domain I am going to pitch from in this article is NOT some rhetoric to argue this point.<br />
 <br />
I simply believe we should paint it as it is; an angel or a prostitute even though one can be both.  It is in that, the inability to see ourselves for who we are or perhaps the lack of being honest with real outcome which is a major play on the entire financial crisis. No regulation can resolve what has and inevitably what is likely to be again unless we truly accept what is.</p>

<p>Without digressing too much, there are three key maxims that to me I question from a moral perspective. These need to be painted as they are even though they may be well intentioned.</p>]]></description>
<dc:subject>Markets and News</dc:subject>
<dc:creator>CausalEvents</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2009-01-16T12:58:49+10:00</dc:date>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2008/12/the_gray_swan_1.php">
<title>The Gray Swan</title>
<link>http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2008/12/the_gray_swan_1.php</link>
<description><![CDATA[<p>In the theme of the Nassim Taleb dissection of risk systems in the world of finance, the black swan is something extraordinary rare but hugely negative (or positive) to our current strategy and a white swan is the normal mode of operation.  It might follow then that the gray swan must be systemic failure of the normal, a platykurtic distribution (a distribution which is peeked and wide around the normal position) where white is not so white when viewed from an External Perspective.</p>]]></description>
<dc:subject>Markets and News</dc:subject>
<dc:creator>CausalEvents</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2008-12-15T17:34:46+10:00</dc:date>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2008/09/juncture_228_a.php">
<title>Juncture 228-205</title>
<link>http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2008/09/juncture_228_a.php</link>
<description><![CDATA[<p>Juncture 228-205, disembark here for a free fall experience that will rock your life.</p>

<p>If we were to put a title around this month`s outcome, it would have to be 228-205; the straw that breaks the camel`s back if you want a different cliche.</p>]]></description>
<dc:subject>Compliance &amp; Rulings</dc:subject>
<dc:creator>CausalEvents</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2008-09-30T16:36:02+10:00</dc:date>
</item>
<item rdf:about="http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2008/07/senate_to_quest.php">
<title>Senate to question market liberty</title>
<link>http://www.prmia.org/Weblogs/General/MartinDavies1/2008/07/senate_to_quest.php</link>
<description><![CDATA[<p>To question market liberty is perhaps equivocation of itself.  To be precise, if one was to look up the dictionary definition of `market` they would find something on the lines of `an open place where buyers and sellers convene for the sale of goods` and while these places have rules, markets work best when price discovery is a true representation of demand or supply.  As soon as that is not the case such peddlers generally go elsewhere to satisfy their disports.</p>]]></description>
<dc:subject>Markets and News</dc:subject>
<dc:creator>CausalEvents</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2008-07-28T06:03:01+10:00</dc:date>
</item>


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